Iran’s foreign minister on Thursday shot back at Pompeo’s Wednesday remarks from Jeddah characterizing the Aramco attacks as an “act of war” by Iran. FM Javad Zarif warned of “all-out war” if the US or Saudis attack Tehran in response. “We won’t blink to defend our territory,” Zarif told CNN.
Though the White House is said to be weighing “options” — including “substantially increased” sanctions which Trump announced this week, the consensus is the administration is cautiously walking back from a war footing. As the WSJ reports:
The White House is pushing to build an international coalition to exert pressure on Iran through the United Nations as its chief response to the attack on Saudi oil facilities, an approach consistent with President Trump’s aversion to military intervention, but also reflecting limits on his retaliatory options.
And the following section of the WSJ report sounds an apt description of Trump’s 2016 campaign promises to avoid the disastrous global military interventions represented in the Bush, Obama, and Hillary legacies — a dovish instinct which helped propel him to the White House in the first place:
“This president, he didn’t want to go to war with anybody, OK? That’s not his inclination,” said Sen. James Risch (R., Idaho), the Foreign Relations Committee chairman. “He will do everything he can to avoid a kinetic engagement with another country.”
Trump’s aversion to taking a war-footing with Iran was also seen in the president’s latest Fox interview Thursday morning, set to broadcast Friday, where with characteristic ambiguity toward the ratcheting gulf tensions he said he wants a “peaceful solution” which would be “good” but it remains that “it’s possible that that won’t happen.”
“You may have some very strong hit, we’re the strongest military in the world by far,” said Trump during the interview. “We’re very powerful. We have new planes, new missiles, new everything.”
Iran has also repeatedly expressed a desire to avoid a direct war, but has assured that any US-Saudi military strike would result in certain “all-out war”. Forbes has described a potential war with Iran as “disastrous and enormously costly”.
.@npwcnn: What would be the consequence of an American or Saudi military strike on Iran now?
Iran Foreign Minister Javad Zarif: An all-out war.
— CNN International (@cnni) September 19, 2019
But the president has at every turn resisted the urging of hawks in his own cabinet and in Congress, such as Lindsay Graham who this week urged a response “painful enough that they won’t do it again”.
The WSJ’s commentary suggests we are witnessing a return to the original foreign policy of candidate Trump, who tapped into the broader American public’s desire of non-interventionism and to stay out of needless quagmires which cost untold blood and treasure:
Mr. Trump’s aversion to a more bellicose response — he publicly rebuked Sen. Lindsey Graham (R., S.C.) after he advocated for a military response against Iran — aligns with his “America First” approach to foreign policy and his distaste for military adventurism in the Middle East.
Of course, a commander-in-chief who desires to avoid costly wars (true to his campaign promises) has been met with general derision by mainstream pundits — some of which even on the left have suddenly begun championing uber-hawk Bolton as some sort of exiled “resistance” figure.
It must be remembered that anytime President Trump bombed Syria (he’s done this twice) major network pundits momentarily gushed over him looking “presidential”.
As Glenn Greenwald once observed, “the same establishment leaders in U.S. politics and media who have spent months denouncing him as a mentally unstable and inept authoritarian and unprecedented threat to democracy are standing and applauding him as he launches bombs at Syrian government targets.”
“This president, he didn’t want to go to war with anybody, OK? That’s not his inclina-tion,” said Sen. James Risch (R., Idaho), the Foreign Relations Com-mittee chairman. “He will do everything he can to avoid an armed engagement” https://t.co/u310cEt6ib
— Joshua Landis (@joshua_landis) September 19, 2019
Speaking of the dismissed former national security adviser, he reportedly unleashed on Trump’s reluctance to start new wars on Wednesday while at a closed-door luncheon hosted by the conservative Gatestone Institute. Bolton told the audience, according to Politico:
After the attack in June, Trump was poised to launch a military response against the Iranians — strongly urged by Bolton — but pulled back after Fox News host Tucker Carlson and others warned him that it was a bad idea.
During Wednesday’s luncheon, Bolton said the planned response had gone through the full process and everybody in the White House had agreed on the retaliatory strike.
Bolton followed with some biting sarcasm which appeared a further slam of Trump, apparently in reference to Fox’s Carlson: But “a high authority, at the very last minute,” without telling anyone, decided not to do it, Bolton complained, the Politico report relates.
* * *
Put simply, do Americans want war with Iran? No! — a recent Gallup Poll found…
Most Americans do not want to go to war with Iran. Only 18% of Americans – 25% of Republicans and 11% of Democrats – think the U.S. should take military action against Iran. Majority prefer diplomacy.
(Gallup, July 2019) pic.twitter.com/Wsfn9WZDOe
— Negar Mortazavi (@NegarMortazavi) August 20, 2019
Indeed, the president’s “crime” appears to be listening to the American people, which overwhelmingly according to every recent poll desire to “bring our boys home” and halt US regime change wars abroad with no more Iraq or Libya repeats.